This was originally a Facebook post of mine from 2021-6-5, and is archived here as a curiosity. Minor changes to formatting, as well as basic copy-edits, may have been made in the transition from Facebook post to web format.
We find covid where we left it last, failing miserably at spreading in the United States. The seven-day moving average of cases is at 13,907, down from 21,162 a week ago, a fall of an astonishing 34%. Likewise, new hospital admission fell from 3,059 to 2,505, and deaths fell from 411 to 331.
How long can it keep dropping like this? The latest -- still rough -- data from outbreak.info suggests that the highly transmissible B.1.617.2 strain of the virus currently makes up about 6% of US cases, and growing at such a rate that it will make up the majority of US cases by sometime in July if present trends continue.
So things are going very well, but we will wait and see what happens in July.
Sources
For basic stats, the CDC Covid Data Tracker.
For B.1.617.2 specifically, outbreak.info
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