This was originally a Facebook post of mine from 2020-9-16, and is archived here as a curiosity. Minor changes to formatting, as well as basic copy-edits, may have been made in the transition from Facebook post to web format.
Today, the United States reported 39,467 cases of the novel coronavirus, up from 33,864 a week ago (Covid Tracking Project). We averaged 41,116 cases a day over the past week, up from 35,206 the week before. It would be very hard to look at that 7-day rolling average graph and say we're not trending up in cases at the moment.
However, the latest positivity rates are still dropping. JHU's rolling average measure is now at 4.7%, down from 4.9% a week ago. So it's possible that real cases might still be dropping while a recent surge in tests has just been doing a better job of finding the people with it. On Saturday we cracked the 1 million tests in one day mark, which is pretty neat.
Hospitalizations are still dropping, slowly. We've got 28,754 reported patients in the hospital right now, down from 29,867 a week ago. They're not dropping as fast as they were before, but still dropping.
We reported 287 deaths today, down from 403 a week ago (Covid Tracking Project). The graph of the seven-day rolling average of deaths sort of looks like it was descending steadily for a while, got jerked down by the Labor Day weekend, got jerked back up as people caught up on paperwork afterward, and is now possibly getting back to the old steady downward motion. Time will tell.
The usual graphs are attached.
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