This was originally a Facebook post of mine from 2020-9-12, and is archived here as a curiosity. Minor changes to formatting, as well as basic copy-edits, may have been made in the transition from Facebook post to web format.
Today, the United States reported 37,295 cases of the novel coronavirus, down from 45,172 a week ago (Covid Tracking Project). The seven-day rolling average is down something like 17% over the last week.
We reported 663 deaths today, down from 915 a week ago. The rolling seven-day average is at 711 deaths per day, and continues its steady downward motion, down about 15% over the last week.
At the most recent peak, the second peak in deaths about six weeks ago, the rolling average was 1100-1200 for three days, then 1000-1100 for nineteen days, then 900-1000 for ten days, then 800-900 for five days, and now we're at our fifth day of 700-800.
The country is currently reported 30,689 patients hospitalized with the virus, down from 33,502 a week ago, a decrease of about 8% for the week.
Things seem to be getting steadily better at the moment, and whatever it is that the schools are doing doesn't seem to be causing a fresh outbreak so far. The next question will be whether cold weather causes a rise in cases. Youyang Gu seems to think we'll likely see some uptick in cases starting in mid-October. He's been right about a lot of things so far, but time will tell.
The usual graphs are attached.
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