2020-7-14

This was originally a Facebook post of mine from 2020-7-14, and is archived here as a curiosity. Minor changes to formatting, as well as basic copy-edits, may have been made in the transition from Facebook post to web format.

Today, the US reported 62,987 cases of the novel coronavirus, up from 51,888 a week ago (Covid Tracking Project). The last seven days have seen 432,957 diagnoses, the highest we've ever had in seven days.

We reported 736 deaths today, down from 919 a week ago. That's a down-tick after seven straight days of rising week-over-week numbers. However, a week ago was July 7th, a weird day, because it came after July 4th, 5th, and 6th, which were three days of extremely low reporting. So July 7th was probably artificially high reporting as we caught up, and now today's "drop" is probably due to the extra-high numbers on the 7th. This data is messy. We'd want a few more days of numbers trending down before we get excited or anything. It would be surprising, after four weeks of rising cases, if we were to see deaths fall. It would be surprising, but delightful. Time will tell.

The usual graphs are attached.


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