2020-6-17

This was originally a Facebook post of mine from 2020-6-17, and is archived here as a curiosity. Minor changes to formatting, as well as basic copy-edits, may have been made in the transition from Facebook post to web format.

Today, the United States reported 782 deaths linked to the novel coronavirus, down from 878 a week ago (Covid Tracking Project). The seven-day rolling average is at 659, down from 811 a week ago. That's a pretty good drop, and today's seven-day average is a new low.

The positive trend on deaths isn't really good news, strictly speaking. It's terrible news, but just less terrible than it used to be. A close relative of mine has a co-worker who has been intubated and is struggling for life due to the coronavirus. I'm sure it is little consolation to this man's wife that the numbers have been moving in the right direction.

The number of new daily cases, taken as a seven-day rolling average, is continuing to do what it has done for all the last month, which is walk back and forth between 20,000 and 24,000.

I'm still not seeing a nationwide "spike" in the graphs, but today the graph looks ever so slightly upward on cases than yesterday. I will be officially bothered if the seven-day average positive rate on tests breaches the 5% line.


This page is released under the CC0 1.0 license, except for the graph on testing, which belongs to Johns Hopkins University.